Monthly Archives: May 2013

May 8, 2013

Game 34: Braves 4, Reds 5

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W: Broxton (1-1) L: Kimbrel (0-1)

Boxscore

Mesoraco returns to the dugout after tying the game.

His wasn’t the walk-off homer, but Mesoraco was clearly the hero of this game.

It was looking like it was going to be another loss at the hands of a quiet offense last night, but at literally the last minute, they pulled it out to win and even the series with the Braves.

After 5 innings, Homer Bailey left the game trailing 4-2. Despite a completely respectable 3.83 ERA, Bailey remains, even now, just 1-3. Sam LeCure came in to pitch 2 perfect innings, followed by Sean Marshall and Jonathan Broxton with a perfect inning apiece, but it really didn’t look like it was going to be enough.

Not that the Reds hadn’t done anything. Shin-Soo Choo had smacked his sixth home run of the year, a solo shot in the third. In the fifth, Jack Hannahan drew a walk and was moved over by a Corky Miller single, and then Donald Lutz brought him in with a line-drive. In the eighth, Brandon Phillips brought in Zack Cozart on a sacrifice fly.

Then came the bottom of the ninth. Hannahan was out on strikes, Corky was out swinging, and those 6 runners left on base over the course of the game were a painful reminder of what might have been.

Devin Mesoraco at the plate takes a ball. Swings and misses by a mile. Two more balls. Another strike. Then my husband, sitting next to me in bed as we wait out the end of the game before turning of the lights, turns to me and says, “did that really just happen?”

Mesoraco’s solo shot was just barely over the wall in center field, but WOOOOOOOO! What a wonderfully unlikely turn of events. Check out the FanGraph of the Reds likelihood of winning the game up to that point. They hadn’t been above 50% chance of winning the whole game, but Mesoraco took them from 4% to 53% with just that one swing.


Source: FanGraphs

We were braced for extra after that, but Choo gave us a pleasant surprise by contributing his second home run of the night and letting the Reds win in walk-off fashion.

The win brings the Reds’ record to 19-15. Today they try to keep their home-series winning streak alive when they play the rubber match against the Braves at 12:35.

May 7, 2013

In brief: when Cueto returns, who leaves?

Choo getting hit by a pitch

Can you believe the number of times this poor guy has been hit? He must a walking bruise by this point. (AP Photo/Al Behrman)

Last game
After sweeping the series with the Cubs, the Reds lost the series opener against the Braves last night, 7-4.

Bronson Arroyo had another rough start, giving up 4 runs (earned) on 8 hits and 2 walks through 5.0 innings. Alfredo Simon pitched 2 innings of hitless relief, but Logan Ondrusek gave the Braves their winning margin: 3 runs (earned) on 3 hits and 1 walk in the eighth. It was too late by the time J. J. Hoover closed it out without a hit.

Zack Cozart’s ears must have been burning, because he suddenly pulled out a 2-hole worthy performance, going 2-for-5 with 2 runs scored.

Next game
The Reds try to even the record against the Braves tonight. It’s the hot-hitting Homer Bailey (RHP, 1-3, 3.38 ERA) tonight against Kris Medlen (RHP, 1-4, 3.38 ERA). First pitch at 7:10 p.m.

Hey, remember Johnny Cueto?
On May 13, Johnny Cueto left a game after experiencing pain in his right lat and oblique muscles. They put him on the 15-day DL a couple days later. He might have been back already, except he suffered a setback, causing all of Redsland to suddenly realize how lucky we were about injuries last season.

Good news yesterday: Cueto long tossed and threw 25 pitches in the bullpen and seems to be healthy again. Swiped from Mark Sheldon’s blog:

“He did very well. He looked very good and said he felt very good,” head trainer Paul Lessard said.

Cueto is scheduled to see Dr. Tim Kremchek later today and will probably have another bullpen session before thoughts of a rehab assignment resume.

The question is: when Cueto comes back, who leaves? Tony Cingrani, who’s been taking Cueto’s spot in the rotation, has outperformed 60% of the other starters while he’s been with the team. As far as ERA is concerned, he’s almost as good as Cueto himself was, and leads Bailey, Mike Leake, and Bronson Arroyo by 3/4 of a run or more and his WHIP is sub-1. Not bad for a rookie.

What to say to sound smart at the water cooler
The Reds have won all 5 home series they’ve played so far this season.

May 7, 2013

Larussa-baggery

Animals - For when you can't get people to like you. (Punchline stolen blatantly from TheCubsBrickyard.com)

Animals – For when you can’t get people to like you. (Punchline stolen blatantly from TheCubsBrickyard.com)

This post is here as part of my answer to the weekly Red Reporter round-table question. Go to Red Reporter to read my and a bunch of different bloggers’ thoughts on how the Reds should fill the #2 hole.

May 6, 2013

In brief: knocking out Choo’s teeth and Phillips’ memory

Last game
Yesterday the Reds completed a three-game sweep with a 7-4 win over the Cubs. You might think that doesn’t mean much, given the state the Cubs are in this year, but it certainly means better things than if they’d lost. All the games count the same when it comes time to pick a division winner.

Mat Latos has been amazing so far this season, but yesterday was a little rough. He gave up 3 runs (earned) on 6 hits and 3 walks through 5 innings. Sam LeCure gave up the other run, but Sean Marshall and J.J. Hoover put in scoreless innings. The Reds never trailed, so it didn’t feel as urgent as it might have otherwise.

Shin-Soo Choo went 2-for-5, Joey Votto went 3-for-5, and Todd Frazier went 2-for-3 with a walk. Four other guys had one hit. It was a team effort this time around.

Next game
Today the Reds host the 18-12 Braves. Bronson Arroyo (RHP, 2-3, 3.95 ERA) takes on a guy I hoped we wouldn’t see again for a while, Paul Maholm (LHP, 3-3, 3.08 ERA). Maholm has allowed 2 or fewer runs in four of his first six starts this season, so I hope the offense is awake.

Collision in center field
Brandon Phillips actually had to come out of the game yesterday in the eighth inning due not being able to see the ball. Even more unsettling is that it sounds like he doesn’t really remember the collision with Shin-Soo Choo that caused it. At the time I saw this happen, I thought Choo got the worst of it with the ball caroming off his lip, but Phillips’ “Whatever Dusty says, that’s what happened” is pretty foreboding.

MLB’s ideas on DRM are about as evil as they come, so I can’t embed the video here, but clicking the preview will take you to the MLB site where you can see it for yourself:

Click to see video.

Choo and Phillips collided trying to catch a ball that was subject to the famous Chicago breezes. Click to see the video.

Both guys are in the line-up today, so hopefully all is well. I’m sure we’ll all be watching closely, though.

What to say to sound smart at the water cooler
Dusty Baker is among only 6 MLB managers in history to win at least one division title with each of three different teams.

May 3, 2013

Setback for Cueto

Johnny Cueto's first pitch of the 2012 season.

Johnny Cueto’s first pitch of the 2012 season.

Just as Johnny Cueto was set to begin a rehab outing in the minors, he suffered a setback.

Cueto, who is on the DL for a strained right lat, felt soreness in his oblique muscle.

“He had a good bullpen [Monday] and he didn’t experience anything in his arm but he experienced soreness in that oblique that he hurt last year in the playoffs,” Reds manager Dusty Baker said. “So, we’ll wait and see.”

Ugh. I know Tony Cingrani is dominating the majors right now, but filling in for a pitcher like Cueto is too much pressure for a rookie, no matter how talented.

Cueto’s not shown himself to be the most durable pitcher over his career, with last year being the only one of his five where he topped 200 innings pitched. Hopefully, this soreness will be nothing too serious and the healing time will serve to make Cueto healthy and ready to finish the season strong.